Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 6, 2021

September 6, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Call Her Joey 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Trish the Dish 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 November Fog 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Monastery Lane 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bobbi’s Legacy 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Silent Causeway 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Ann of Cleves 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Take Chargechristy 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Party of No 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 He’s a Gizmo 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Hell Bent 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Pugin 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Drone Swarm 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 The Newfie Express 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Torah’s Blessing 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Cash Advance 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sansa’s Vow 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ravir 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bella Nina 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Erasmo’s Girl 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dictate 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 A Little Voodoo 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Admonish 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Danger 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Justleaveitalone 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Mia At Midnight 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Endorphin Rush 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Choose Hope 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Pacenza 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Blueyed Princess 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Lower for Longer (IRE) 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Eleanor Powell 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Broadway Lady 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Chart 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Gote Go 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Lady Speightspeare 2.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nantucket Red 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Peace Seeker 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Cool Shadows 20.00 6 11-1
8 7 Above All Names 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Silent Tango 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moonlight Rain 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Alice’s War 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ami’s Link 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Tiz My Right 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Crumlin Time 8.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Londonderry 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Biondetti’s Choice 3.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Victoriaville 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Treasure Quest 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Top Prize Girl 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Viani 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Pesaro 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Simply a Zoomer 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Cliff’s Head 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Shishka 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 My Dad Rocks 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Sea of Diamonds 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Nice Company 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Linda Loves Lace 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Speedy Lynn 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Simple Souvenir 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Seamialaugh 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Classy n’ Silent 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Bobbit 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 High Society Girl 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Afleet Eddie 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Sir Grayvenscroft 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 One Way to Win 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Correlate 3.00 5 10-1
12 12 Grand Alliance 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sea Scout 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Right to Strike 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Hit This Town 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Wenjack 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Black Hills Bronco 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Paternoster 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Scarborough Bluffs 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Verrazano Legacy 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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4th - 9:36
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1st - 6:59
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