September 6, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Call Her Joey | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trish the Dish | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | November Fog | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monastery Lane | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Causeway | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ann of Cleves | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Chargechristy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Party of No | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Gizmo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hell Bent | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pugin | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drone Swarm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Newfie Express | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torah’s Blessing | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Advance | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sansa’s Vow | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ravir | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Nina | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Erasmo’s Girl | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dictate | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Little Voodoo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Admonish | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Danger | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justleaveitalone | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia At Midnight | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Endorphin Rush | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choose Hope | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacenza | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blueyed Princess | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lower for Longer (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleanor Powell | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Lady | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chart | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gote Go | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Speightspeare | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nantucket Red | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Seeker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cool Shadows | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Above All Names | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Tango | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Rain | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alice’s War | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ami’s Link | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz My Right | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Time | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Londonderry | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Biondetti’s Choice | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Victoriaville | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Quest | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Prize Girl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viani | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pesaro | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Simply a Zoomer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cliff’s Head | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shishka | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Dad Rocks | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea of Diamonds | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nice Company | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Linda Loves Lace | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Lynn | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Souvenir | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seamialaugh | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classy n’ Silent | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bobbit | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Society Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Eddie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Way to Win | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Correlate | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grand Alliance | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Scout | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Right to Strike | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit This Town | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wenjack | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Hills Bronco | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paternoster | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scarborough Bluffs | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Verrazano Legacy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.