Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 6, 2021

September 6, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Colosi 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Luck of the Draw 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Feast 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Mississippi 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Royal Insider 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Gray Magician 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Palace Coup 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Jumper 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Percolate (IRE) 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Il Capitano 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Classically 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Lookout Point 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Picota (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Honor Award 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Happy Runner 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Birth of Cool 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Noble Union 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Corsica Flavor 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Khantaro d’Oro 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Roy C 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Katonah 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Recaptured Freedom 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Barbwire 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Who’s the Star 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Magnificent 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Star Sailor 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Street Ruckus 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 A. P. Pharoah 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Mongolian Ford 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Jedi Master 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Numero Dix (GB) 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Berolijean (FR) 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Optimistic Valor 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Wyfire 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Never Seen Before (IRE) 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Beyond Brilliant 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Cotopaxi (IRE) 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hay Juan 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Chris Fix 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Eye Candy Randy 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mondale 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Summanus 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Big Speech 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Nationwide Pride 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Empire’s Fire 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Heaven’s Music 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Medina Man 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Big Swede 20.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Toasted At Dawn 0.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Thirsty Chapo 3.00 SCRATCH
14 13 I Know Cash Flow 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 She’s So Nice (IRE) 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Deise Delight (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Nu Pi Lambda 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Althea Gibson 3.50 6 11-1
1 1 Anonymously 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Fantail (GB) 15.00 7.1 14-1
6 6 A G Indy 8.00 7.1 14-1
9 9 Vegas Palm 10.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 September Secret 12.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Valpolicella (GB) 20.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Miss Carousel 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sweet Soulmate 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Roses and Candy 20.00 11.2 21-1
8 8 Donut Girl 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Direct Line 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Laurel River 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Indimaaj 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Butkus 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Divine Armor 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Proverb 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Leading Score 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Final Jeopardy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silver Surfer (GB) 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mackinnon 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Optimising (IRE) 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Aquitania Arrival 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mogollon Rim 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 My Mane Champ 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Thirty Four Coupe 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Socal Red 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Shortman 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Murray 2.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Pinehurst 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 American Xperiment 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Pappacap 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Olympic Legend 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Finneus 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Muay Thai (IRE) 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Algeria (IRE) 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 General Mathis 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Stone’s River 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tembo 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ox Bridge 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Cane Creek Road 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Brother Reid 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Zippy Baby 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Drop Anchor 20.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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