Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 5, 2021

September 5, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Cheeks 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Orbaline 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Our Ticket 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Kentucky Fan 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Matthaus 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 She’s a True Fox 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Georgian Dancer 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Joy’s Solution 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 La Bonita 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hit the Point 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Dr. Green 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Meyer 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ultimate Storm 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 English Classic 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Muskoka Giant 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Maverick Man 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Flame Zapper 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Download 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boxer Brief 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Red Maple 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tiz Romantic 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sunrise Drive 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Browning Island 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cousin Bob 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Kawacatoose 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Hullabaloo 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Seventh Wonder 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lapochka 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Threshold 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Carmenootz 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Solar 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Court Battle 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Burning Man 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Gigantic Breeze 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Faraway Kitten 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Coleyville 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Salvator Mundi 20.00 8 15-1
12 12 Full Extreme 15.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Dotted Line 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Native Prince 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Girl Sky 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Legs Like Shack 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dixiewish 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Loaded Secret 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Laila’s Charm 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Moon Pool 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 American Gamble 3.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Little Fire 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Foresters Princess 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Puddle Stomp 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shangassah 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lion’s Goldenheart 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Easy Weekend 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Breaking Alone 4.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Lion Kingdom 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Veloce 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Giant Critic 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tricky Magician 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Argentium 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Reliability 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stowaway 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Royal Court 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Stronger Together 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Laraque 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rum Cup 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Broke an Broken 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Day Tripper 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Shamateur 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Pot Committed 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Lithuanian King 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Punch Hard 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Juan Pablo 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Win d’Oro 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Rogue Affair 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 British Royalty 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Battle of Yorktown 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Muchokova 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Prideofdistinction 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Seventyseven Stone 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Neptune’s Pearl 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Stencil 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Thatnightintoronto 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fire Emoji 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Twister Alert 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ol’ Blondie 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sugar Surge 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Red Fuji 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Few Regrets 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Maxy 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Bellaspina 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 The Twelfth 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Alpha Mia 10.00 7 13-1
7 6 Royal City Reign 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Born to Be Good 3.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Bearthestorm 8.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Shishka 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Top Prize Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Nice Company 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sea of Diamonds 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Viani 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Audition 20.00 10.2 19-1
12 11 Bella Lalou 20.00 10.5 20-1
9 8 Reload the Bank 20.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Street Topper 20.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
4th - 14:13
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
4th - 3:50
Details
4th - 4:08
Details
3rd - 6:16
Details
Details
Go to Scoreboard