Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 4, 2021

September 4, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Sfs Alice Strikes 1.60 1.3 2-1
7 6 Ts Lil Cash 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Rakin in Mo 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Ought to Be Faithful 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Villegas La Capo 20.00 5 10-1
4 3 Lil Toby 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Royal Tres 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kisss and Teller 0.60 1.6 3-1
7 7 Watch Me Clock Doc 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ts Jess Watch Me Fly 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Lil Sister 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ts Perry Kool 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Fly Pesty Fly 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Colies Kiss 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Candy and Corona 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Jess for Your Lady 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Fabulous Mary Ia 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ceeloo 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lil Pistol Pete 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Itskool Tolove Jesus 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Vals Sizzling Lips 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Jessita 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Classinova 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Famous Coronado 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Going Gaga 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Kool Aid Wagon 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tell Her Hes Candy 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Blow Like Snow 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Her Lips Are Sealed 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Justatapin 1.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sennebec Summer 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Cavatica 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Frugal Betty 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Her Way Or No Way 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Singing Alli 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Polly War Cry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mean Erika 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Darlene Strong 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Cabo Dorado 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Blushing Scarlett 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Five Queens 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Flaming Indy 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 A Girl Like Me 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr. Thunderstruck 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Chicago Chrome 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Prince Otto 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Wherever He Is 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Buzzer 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bubba’s Quest 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Handsome Hunter 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Storm the Field 1.20 1.4 3-1
4 4 Crimson Trace 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Sing Loud 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Redneckerthanyou 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Prairie Squall 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Comegetsome 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Nosbor 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cobymeister 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Tap the Brakes 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ministry of Art 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Who’s Big Daddy 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pistol Packin Man 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lite Switch 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Not This Again 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Richard Radke Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Elusive Target 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Ain’t Life Grand 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Warrior’s Run 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Two Guns 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Escrow Style 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Stan’s Miracle Man 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tough to Tame 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stern 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Aquatica 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Animator 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Angel Arkie 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jitters 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Story Problem 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Spilled Perfume 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Seattle Bay 12.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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