Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 4, 2021

September 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gonna Be Epic 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Honesto 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Royal War 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Al Hilal 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Joe Phillips 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Piypa de Lynda 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Double Blessing 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Mutaraafeq 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Smart Soldier 50.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pretzel 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Lyrical 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Happy Interest 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Freezer Burn 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Nenita 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lights On Girl 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Queen Domina 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Snow Shower (GB) 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Kahiko 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Zodiac Princess 2.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 All Quality 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Smart Spending 4.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Elusive Molly 12.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Mizzen 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shiny Empire 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Miszlo 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Raki 15.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Wonder Blondy 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Science Friction 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Del Rey Dolly 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Greatest Glory 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Brittiz 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 La Bokaina 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Stellarator 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Cupid Austin 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Da Furious Cat 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Miss Gracie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Starship Nterprise 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cultured 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tik Tok Famous (GB) 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Champagne Ivy 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Restofthestory 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Kate’s Kingdom 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Sunshine City 10.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Frankie’s Girl 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Beastfromtheeast 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Voice of Now 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Po Boy 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Venezuelan Triumph 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 Adventure Seeker 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Perfect Honor 12.00 4 7-1
4 4 Crazy Odds 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Schenectady Star 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Splash of Force 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 La Rusia 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Glitter Bay 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Happy Thought 4.00 6.4 12-1
9 7 Cactus Kitten 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Lady Jae 12.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Truly 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kay’s Project 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sister Is Devil 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Brody’s Honor 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Eighty Seven North 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Baby Lion 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Hardly Social 15.00 10.6 20-1
11 9 Gingeronmymind 15.00 10.8 20-1
8 6 Slewys Chosen One 20.00 11.6 22-1
7 5 Bonheur 15.00 12.5 24-1
12 10 First Gold 20.00 14.6 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 She’s So Beautiful 1.40 2.4 5-1
5 4 Last Leaf 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Queen Camilla 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Madame Claude 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Blushing Keylen 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Story Told 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Brett’s World 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 4 Kicks On Sixty Six 6.00 5 9-1
4 3 Shanghai Ronnie 8.00 7 13-1
3 2 Emoji Guy 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 7 Kleon 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 8 Not So Easy 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 6 Fitz’s Mo 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Holy Meister 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Farm Boy 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Traceability 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Straight Up Guy 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Florida Express 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Express Pharoah 1.80 SCRATCH
15 15 Joe Benjamin 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Converter 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 In Honor of Artie 30.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Superstitieux 3.00 2 4-1
4 3 Mitico 3.50 2 4-1
7 6 Little Vic 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Classicstateofmind 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Mo Z 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Tommy Point 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Heavy Weight 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Sutton Breeze 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tune In 1.40 4.3 8-1
13 4 Meade 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Surprise Factor 8.00 5.7 11-1
12 3 Nixon Joy (ARG) 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Yamato 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Seven Channels 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 New Year 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Virginian 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Thenorthremembers 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gangly 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mr Matuschek 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 El Socio 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Louder Than Bombs 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mony 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bonno 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Tapping 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 No Commission 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Malibu Mandate 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Emit 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Barrel Proof 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Future Book 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 King Tarzan 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Little Dude 15.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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