Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 4, 2021

September 4, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Lucky Heart 1.80 2.8 5-1
8 8 Cross the Mersey 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Paolla Kisses 15.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Enough Kisses 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Grand Entrada 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Offlee Graysful 1.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Remarkable Lass 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Drink the Tap 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Decoupage 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Take Charge Erica 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Thea’s Theme 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 6 Caught Up in You 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Le Weekend 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Tara’s Talent 4.50 SCRATCH
6 7 Above Par 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 It’s Fate 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Empty Nestr 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kierland 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sancocho (MEX) 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mice and Men 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 In Him With Him 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Day 10.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Mr. Cunningham 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Axxerator 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Minecrafter 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Heart of Savino 10.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Savage Sailor 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Ten Twenty One 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jardani 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Amarillo 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Grumley 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King’s House 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Ellas My Love 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 John’s Promise 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Bazoo 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 California Swing 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Yei Yei 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Rocket Blast 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 American Talent 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Storm Attack 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Over and Thunder 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Heartness 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Had a Feeling 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 King of Hollywood 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Origo 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 General’s Duty 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Spotted Cat 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Run On the Trail 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Ohio Class 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Nashvegas 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Where Paradise Lay 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Close Shave 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Yabba Dabba Dude 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Arrivederla 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Double Magnum 4.00 2 4-1
8 7 Golden Gallant 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Maracaibo 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tapifly 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Don’t Throw Stones 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Second Line David 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Bama Drifter 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Cash Kid 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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4th - 11:40
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3rd - 6:36
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