Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 3, 2021

September 3, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Final Trick 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 In Pursuit 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Savvy’s Sister 1.60 3.7 7-1
7 7 Avies Tale of Mesa 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Real Chopper 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 D’s Soul 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Later Gator 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artful Ballerina 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ride the Wind 4.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Reign by Rein 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Livin in the Six 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 So Elusive 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Meet the Soprano 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Souper Pecan 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Capture the Moment 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Giant Illusion 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Muchacha 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Artie’s First Kiss 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dominant Factor 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Verrazano Bridge 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Orphan Hallie 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Abraxas 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Summer Load 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Son of My Father 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Savuka 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 One Thou 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Trinity Gold 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Twirling Moon 8.00 5 10-1
9 9 Personal Journey 4.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Suigu Star 10.00 7 13-1
12 12 Liverpool Man 5.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Just Start Me Up 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Blue Snow 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Dr. Jewel 15.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 King of Gypsies 15.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 L’Etat (GER) 20.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 My Boy Christian 20.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 I Have Hope 15.00 10 19-1
14 14 St. Paddy’s Daddy 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Saint’s Rest 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Guitar George 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Amberwood 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Aheadbyacentury 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Nevaeh’s Valentine 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 Florida Won 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 I Idolize You 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Embrace My Uncle 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barilko 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Yola 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Silence Breakers 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ari Gold Speedwagn 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Canola World 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Speedy Moonlite 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Yzerman 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cash Dividend 1.80 2.4 4-1
4 4 Malibu Secret 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lookinatamiracle 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Magical Man 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Striking Moon 6.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Beyond My Dreams 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Ocelot 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Maakwa 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Coltons Dream 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 View From Egbert 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Wasaga 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Love That Madison 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Core 12.00 5.3 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 1:31
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Final
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4th - 10:15
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3rd - 9:28
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3rd - 7:47
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3rd - 9:26
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2nd - 3:42
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2nd - 2:38
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1st - 4:49
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