September 3, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cono | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea of Liberty | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Via Egnatia | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | French Getaway | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stirling Drive | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play Chicken | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wesphire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Treaty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kazan (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I’m a Giraffe | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Reno | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibuena | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artisan Dancer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half Past Twelve | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unfaithful Ways | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Pass | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Mary | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Am Yisrael Chai | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shylock Eddie | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lava Lane | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Westward Breeze | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squared Shady | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | After Midnight | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acai | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr Wysong | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ensleys Dream | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Vegan | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Dozo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Pistachio Princess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Nice Ice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Class Code | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen of Love | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Patriot Missile | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Evelyn | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Moon | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Curious Inji | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bandeena | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Consider Me Gone | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gaze | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can Fly | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dual Reality | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Miracle of Hope | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fore Flag | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quincey | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velvet Ghost | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blueberry Eyes | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Splash | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peacehaven | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Humor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So I’m Told | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal Dancing | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mogollon Rim | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Agador Spartacus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Orth | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Generous Portion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Big Novel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stopdropandroll | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madiha | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Connie Swingle | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drizella | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cause She’s a Lady | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Irish Wahine | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Carmen Miranda | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sally Stanford | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bold Choice | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Zuboshi | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Eleuthera | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cinnte Winnte (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | England’s Rose | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reina Del Sol | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Noguez | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get On the Bus | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star of Africa | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mercy Mercy | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cider Apple (GB) | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kleen Karma | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Del Mar Drama | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Trickle In | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mad Grace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dark Prince | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scabbard | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | California Street | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Palace Prince | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Afternoon Heat | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mountain Spirit | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Eustace | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Indy Jones | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next Revolt | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Awesome Beach | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 98 | Street Behavior | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Twirling Derby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Stay Golden | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.