September 1, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Tapatino (FR) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glencorrib Sky (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wightman (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prayer Hope | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | West Newton (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Booby Trap | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chetzeron (FR) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fightinirishtabit | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ritzy A. P. | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Grit and Glory | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Playwright | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flowers for Lisa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaiian Noises | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Revenio | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Legit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mubarmaj | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Surprise | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Static Fire | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vexednrelaxed | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Status | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Tuesday | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raw Honey | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mischief | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Still My Babe | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizmet | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mispelled Mooon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twenty Two Elle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stormy Stella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In a Hurry | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Lucerne | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Choate Bridge | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tass | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Princess | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sun Summers | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Singita Dreams | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Johnnypump | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lokoya Road | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Effect | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chase Tracker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Operative | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Wicked Charm | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Stones | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Little Risk | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flipping Fun | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crossing Verazanno | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freudian Fate | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kisses for Val | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crock of Gold | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Colt Named Susie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oliver’s Fortune | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Production Credit | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tis a Pity | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Highway Queen | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Al’s Gal | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kreesa La Wrote | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Show Me the Honey | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Athena Dancer | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bonus Baby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Herald Angel | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Not Bluffing | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zip It Jess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Social Whirl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Calibogue Sound | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pendolino | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beautiful Karen | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Proper Grammar | 50.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Vindictive | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Runnin’ Ray | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | First Line | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Business Model | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Texas Swing | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Angkor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Mr. Tip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | High Tide | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – With Anticipation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Portfolio Company | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Limited Liability | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gooch Go Bragh | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coinage | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silipo | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kavod | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to March | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | La Victoria | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Acushla | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lady Thornhill | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tingling Mint | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tapple Cider | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vivazano | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Killoean Rose | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Raining Candy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fist Full of Dice | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cinderella’s Cause | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Cali Fitz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Out of Sight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Duckphat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Saluki | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.