Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 1, 2021

September 1, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Perfect Tapatino (FR) 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Glencorrib Sky (IRE) 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Wightman (IRE) 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Prayer Hope 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 West Newton (GB) 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Booby Trap 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Chetzeron (FR) 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Fightinirishtabit 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Ritzy A. P. 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Grit and Glory 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 3 Playwright 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Flowers for Lisa 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hammerin Aamer 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Hawaiian Noises 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Revenio 30.00 6.3 12-1
1A 8 Legit 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Mubarmaj 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sweet Surprise 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Static Fire 5.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Vexednrelaxed 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Diamond Status 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Next Tuesday 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Raw Honey 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Miracle Mischief 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Still My Babe 10.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Tizmet 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mispelled Mooon 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Twenty Two Elle 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stormy Stella 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Clara Peeters (GB) 1.40 2.7 5-1
6 6 In a Hurry 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lake Lucerne 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Choate Bridge 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Tass 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Ice Princess 0.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Sun Summers 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Singita Dreams 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Johnnypump 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Lokoya Road 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Speed Effect 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Chase Tracker 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Operative 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Super Wicked Charm 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Breaking Stones 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Little Risk 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Flipping Fun 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Brew Pub 3.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Crossing Verazanno 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Freudian Fate 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Kisses for Val 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Crock of Gold 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 A Colt Named Susie 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Oliver’s Fortune 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Production Credit 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tis a Pity 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Jill’s a Hot Mess 4.50 4.2 8-1
12 12 Highway Queen 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Big Al’s Gal 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Kreesa La Wrote 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Show Me the Honey 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Athena Dancer 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Bonus Baby 12.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Herald Angel 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 She’s Not Bluffing 30.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Zip It Jess 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Social Whirl 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Calibogue Sound 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Pendolino 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Beautiful Karen 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Proper Grammar 50.00 15.6 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Vindictive 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 1 Runnin’ Ray 2.00 2.4 5-1
1A 4 First Line 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Business Model 6.00 4 8-1
4 2 Texas Swing 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Angkor 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 5 Mr. Tip 5.00 SCRATCH
2 1 High Tide 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – With Anticipation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Portfolio Company 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Limited Liability 1.40 1.3 2-1
3 3 Gooch Go Bragh 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Coinage 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Silipo 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Kavod 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ready to March 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 La Victoria 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 10 Acushla 3.50 1.4 3-1
12 11 Lady Thornhill 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Tingling Mint 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Tapple Cider 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Vivazano 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Killoean Rose 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Raining Candy 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Fist Full of Dice 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Cinderella’s Cause 30.00 7.3 14-1
1A 13 Cali Fitz 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Out of Sight 30.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Duckphat 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Saluki 50.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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