Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, August 31, 2021

August 31, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Barn Queen 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hilltop Honey 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Whistling Fool 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 A Bit Bad N Boujee 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Elf’s Tune 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Brandywine Babe 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Constitution 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tamiami 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Going Going Gone 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Leftatthealtar 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Corbally 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lulinda’s Heart 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Big Bluff 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Jack Gave Back 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Conquistador Show 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Eddie’s Charge 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Burn and Turn 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Weight of Glory 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Explain 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Yellowstone Girl 3.50 1 2-1
6 5 Abhaile 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 American Money 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 2 Marianna Queen 5.00 2 4-1
4 3 Visiting Angel 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Congaree Rose 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Spectacular Now 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Go Metro Girl 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sophos 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mountain Tree 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Tempting the Tiger 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Kolohe Prince 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Don’t Recall 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Racehorseinared 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dreaming Thousand 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Brew Dog 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 A Gray for Carolyn 3.00 1 2-1
6 5 Sinashack 3.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Donzi 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Russian Runner 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Fox in the Fog 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Go Skippy Go 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Prince Champ 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chase the Cash 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Too Much Johnnie 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 Slew Tang Clan 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Jw’s Third Mischie 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Open Lengths 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Wicked Strong Alex 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Rack Gin 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Hard Game 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Stopit 12.00 9 17-1
7 7 Rules 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shesalittle Edgy 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Love in Her Eyes 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Philadelphia Belle 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Imperial Moon 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Excitable Lady 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Empress Deona 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Incomparable 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Parx Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 The Critical Way 1.60 1 2-1
5 4 Francatelli 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 So Street 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Battle Station 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Firecrow 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Appealing Future 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Shekky Shebaz 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Connector 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 I Got a Rock 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 King’s House 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Borracho 15.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Where You Was 15.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Amblin Man 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Liraz 3.00 1 2-1
12 10 Nurturing 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Sweet Samurai 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Solemn Oath 5.00 2.9 5-1
15 12 Izzybella 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Beautiful Star 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Superhelpful 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sharon’s Law 12.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Blue Paynt 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Upcycle 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Megalomania 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sour Mash 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Tale of Kitten 15.00 12.3 23-1
13 11 Better Begin 15.00 12.3 23-1
5 4 Oui Madame 20.00 16 30-1
9 8 Get Her Readyeddie 20.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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