Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, August 30, 2021

August 30, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kit Kat Katie 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dreaming Diamonds 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 What About Tonight 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Thatta Boy Girl 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Rose of Dublin 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 I’m Thirsty 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Lady Mistress 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Secret Zar 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Connoisseur 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Happycrest 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 African Song 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Leftatthealtar 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shes Euphoric 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Luxury Suite 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Rings of Jupiter 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 2 Synergized 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 4 Eden Ridge 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Neighborhood Bully 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Political 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 A. C. Riggs 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Eliana’s Mission 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Cape Elizabeth 2.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Ms Canela 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Maryevil 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 La Altenita 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Misbehaving Lady 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sweet Savage 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Mizshipman 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 6 Boom Boom Girl 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 3 Same Moon 5.00 6 11-1
7 4 Sour Mash 4.00 6.2 12-1
10 5 Creative Love 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 2 Thrilling Baby 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Misquillo 12.00 8.4 16-1
12 7 Castilleja 8.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Ides of March 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Taqseemaat 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Emma and I 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Big Brown Eyes 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 English Charmer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Noble Endeavor 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 American Quality 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Ashraq 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 6 Regal Run 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Saponara 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Brony Boy 4.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Uncle Tony P 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Thorover 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Florencia 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 3 Dirty Bird 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 6 Cotton Candy Cutie 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 5 Sugar Streak 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 2 Galileo’s Affair 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lil Miss Hotshot 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 West Horizen 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lem Me Have It 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Canoochee 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Diamond Setter 1.80 2.9 5-1
5 4 Legal Gump 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 The Robert 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Spirit Special 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Dangerfield 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 My Man Elvis 15.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Louie’s Wish 15.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Champers 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tivano 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Baringer Spring 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 2 Thundershook 1.60 2.9 6-1
6 4 Koan 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Pubilius Syrus 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 6 Ekhtibaar 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 1 Colonel Juan 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Exit Right 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jamminwithbrandon 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Amanjena 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Green Growth 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Monday’s With Mike 4.50 3.9 7-1
11 10 Court Sky 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Wye Mumbo 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sage Canyon 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Yes for Less 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Dr. Grunseich 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Tiz Valentino Daze 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Piggybank 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Bill’s Mafia 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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