August 29, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Heater | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonachie | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Homestead | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Salute | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Dansky | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hushion | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Sip | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Charleston Strong | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Everesting | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Mo’s Cat | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Partner’s Hope | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rogers Ginger | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ring of Fire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Congrats for Glory | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Not Stormy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shackle Cat | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camouflaged Kisser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 4 | Sacred Life (FR) | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Analyze It | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking the Rules | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bodecream | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Made You Look | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chris and Dave | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | American Power | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Munnings | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Gator | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blewitt | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daddy Knows | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Early | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mommasgottarun | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Mo Reay | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Distinctlypossible | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Soaring | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fannie and Freddie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for the Hills | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gerrymander | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rosebug | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Our Souper Love | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afilada | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Vagaries (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gun Boat | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bali Belle | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kinchen (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pearl Earring | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Openthegate | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hail To | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Barrett | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alittleloveandluck | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avignon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pacific Grove | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Belle Gosse | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Montauk Daddy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Determined Fury | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Charlie Five O | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stanhope | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Elusive Edge | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bardolino | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Show | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wild William | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Gentleman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American d’Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trash Talker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hoopla | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Our Troubadour | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Loaded Joe | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beau Liam | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Night Time | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cost Basis | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girolamo’s Attack | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amundson | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Phil | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yodel E. A. Who | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Breez | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ragtime Blues | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Better Talk Now S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ranger Fox | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straw Into Gold | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Effect | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Jack | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamer’s Disease | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzigwiththestars | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Molino | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chulainn | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Made My Day (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Count Down | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calibogee | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lord Flintshire | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Dad | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jarreau | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landbiscuit | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gateway Guardian | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parade Field | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Assiduously (GB) | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scotty | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Advance Notice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wartime Hero | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Briggs | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.