Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 28, 2021

August 28, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valentina Ghada 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 6 Captaire 1.60 1.5 3-1
5 5 Electric Ride 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Gritty Girl 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Miss Mattie B 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Seven Exes 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Active Account 4.00 2 4-1
6 5 Magic Tiger 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Father O’Flaherty 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cibertruck 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Suances Secret 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Equipo A 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Whisky My God (ARG) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Jeff 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Capo Mafioso 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Johnny Podres 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Ingest 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Sabuda 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Palaleo 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Honor Among Men 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Minehunter 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Cute Impact 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 3 Blame It On Rose 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 City of Champions 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Barsabas 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Prince Hussar 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 We All Agree 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Im Still Thirsty 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Roses for Suzzett 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tony Ann 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Little Liliana 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Beautiful Temple 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Leisurewear (IRE) 5.00 3 6-1
10 8 Chantal 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Tiergarten 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Kalon 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Cami Kate 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Dani Mo 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 9 Optimas 20.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Cal Rough 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Va Va Voom 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 I Got No Munny 1.80 1.7 3-1
6 6 Fashionably Fast 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Fratelli 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Colt Fiction 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 El Tigre Terrible 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tiger Dad 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Minsky (IRE) 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 The Hulk (GB) 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Love My Jimmy 2.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Crossword 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Gates of Heaven 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jazz Hands 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Swiss Swoo (IRE) 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Honorary Degree 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Sea to Success 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Durante 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Rockefeller 4.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Encode 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Cabo Spirit 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Hiding the Brick 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Union Train 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 South Street 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Get Back Goldie 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Pec Tacular 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Drink the Wind 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Jostar 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Friar’s Road 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Farquhar 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Liberal (IRE) 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Luvluv 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Me and Mr. C 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Onenightstandards 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Lure Him In 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Kazan (IRE) 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Rocks and Salt 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pat O’brien S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eight Rings 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Ginobili 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mo Mosa 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Howbeit 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 C Z Rocket 2.50 4 8-1
8 8 Flagstaff 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Brickyard Ride 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Classier 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Surfing Star 30.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 California Street 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zip Now 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Carmelita’s Man 3.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 U. S. Danger 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Viking Plunder 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Trevor T 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Cool Your Jets 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 I’ll Stand Taller 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Refuse 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Single Me Out 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Circleofchampions 20.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Tacoflavoredkisses 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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