August 28, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valentina Ghada | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captaire | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electric Ride | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gritty Girl | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mattie B | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Exes | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Active Account | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Tiger | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father O’Flaherty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cibertruck | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Suances Secret | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Equipo A | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whisky My God (ARG) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Jeff | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capo Mafioso | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Podres | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ingest | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabuda | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palaleo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Among Men | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minehunter | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cute Impact | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blame It On Rose | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | City of Champions | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barsabas | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prince Hussar | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | We All Agree | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Im Still Thirsty | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roses for Suzzett | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tony Ann | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Liliana | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beautiful Temple | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Chantal | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiergarten | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kalon | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cami Kate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dani Mo | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Optimas | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cal Rough | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Va Va Voom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | I Got No Munny | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fashionably Fast | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fratelli | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Tigre Terrible | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Dad | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minsky (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Hulk (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love My Jimmy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crossword | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gates of Heaven | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jazz Hands | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honorary Degree | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea to Success | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockefeller | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Encode | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cabo Spirit | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hiding the Brick | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Train | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | South Street | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Back Goldie | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pec Tacular | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drink the Wind | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Jostar | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friar’s Road | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Farquhar | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberal (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luvluv | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Me and Mr. C | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Onenightstandards | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lure Him In | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocks and Salt | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pat O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eight Rings | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ginobili | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Mosa | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howbeit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flagstaff | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brickyard Ride | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classier | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surfing Star | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | California Street | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zip Now | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carmelita’s Man | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | U. S. Danger | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Viking Plunder | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trevor T | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Your Jets | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Stand Taller | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Refuse | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Single Me Out | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circleofchampions | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.