August 26, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Censorship | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mitigation | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Dawn | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Giraffe | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haute Lady | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talkative Gal | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brimage | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tiz Tact Toe | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Moore Street Wise (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Circumvent | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prince Ziggy | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | American Great | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Me B Bubba T | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fire Polish | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosenquist | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bibleman | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awhitesportscoat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vander Kelen | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Storm | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Equity | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Admirably | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trebbiano | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anmer Hall | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Alert | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Con On the Run | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Law Abiding | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Town Boy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riviera Champ | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hydro Frost | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Facetious | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Get Back Goldie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mob Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sumter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tribal War Chant | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paint Me Lucky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Catbernay | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Half Right | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Black Belt | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cumberland Avenue | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rayray | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starship Chewbacca | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Raymundos Secret | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bulletproof One | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hear My Prayer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candura | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rakassah (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Special | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wilder Than Most | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atomic Drop | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wilson Monk | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly the Sky | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Touchdown Brown | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hapi Hapi | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Club Cal | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pappy Boyington | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Betito | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Emily | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasingserendipity | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agreetodisagree | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St Helena | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mind Meld | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Del Mar Flash | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frisco Frills | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emma’s Dance | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Thought | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Basil Flavor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.