August 25, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Skeets | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | No Burn | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Humor | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Call Home | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Napoleon Complex | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Value Chain | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rudy Rod | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Run White Rabbit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forest Spirit | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Return | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extreme Force | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tallaj | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casalsa | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U. S. Steel | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Hungry Kitten | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pocket Square (GB) | 0.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Key Biscayne | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hogans Holiday | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bramble Bay | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Singita Dreams | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Beauty | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Indra | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invaluable | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shasta Star | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timely Tradition | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luann | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Digital Future | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Quest | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kawhi Me a River | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | First Law | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Partner’s Hope | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On the Dean’s List | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beckenbauer | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canyouhearmenow | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir William | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whatlovelookslike | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Waterville | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oak Loves a Fight | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | False Hope | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princessinparadise | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Preposterous | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Sugar Baby | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solib | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saratoga Chrome | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rcaptivating | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cupere | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rigby | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Arisaema | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gandy Dancing | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Binkster | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dark Money | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ninth Hour | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Right | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mountain | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Vicar’s Legend | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Up Paynter | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winter Pool | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hombrazo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Rye Time | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giocare | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Auburn Hills | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beachwalker | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John’s Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ajourneytofreedom | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shamrocket | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Serve the King (GB) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fantasioso (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ry’s the Guy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Knight | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conviction Trade | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moretti | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Joqular | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | My Candy Girl | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jazzy Lady | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Romance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Cent Tootsie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unicorn Sally | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giggle Factory | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Amber | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Alba’s Star | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Revenge | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Come Storming | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Courageous Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.