Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 25, 2021

August 25, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tapalong 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sacred Storm 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Winning Quality 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Lady Magna 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Rend Lake Baby 6.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Livinherbestlife 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Chickadee 2.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Naughtynaughty 2.00 1.3 3-1
6 4 My Back Pages 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 3 Simply Complicated 6.00 3 6-1
2 1 Angie’s Revrac 10.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wanta Ballerina 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Missen the Point 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lizqueenfluerdelis 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 My Dams Atitude 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Senorita Aurora 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 English 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ready At Midnight 1.80 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Journeyist 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Clever Kitten 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Laura’s Charm 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Isle of Grace 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Oeuvre 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Modernism 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sweet N Sassy 1.80 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 The Last Fact 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Dastardly Deeds 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Medal King 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Good Yegg 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Power Through 12.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 B G Attack 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Dream Attack 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Classofsixtyseven 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Dash to the Cash 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Mommas Boy Otis 4.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 He’s Wild 6.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jimmy D 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 5 Clear N Convincing 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Memory Bank 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 P H Factor 1.60 3 6-1
5 5 Campioni 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Christian C 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Diamond Dave 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Andreas 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Bee Happy Attack 20.00 2 4-1
2 2 Paddy’s House 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ioya Again 2.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Empty Holster 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Flashy Richie 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Land Mark Deal 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Coming Up Aces 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ride Richie Ride 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Zandrea’s 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 6 Smack 4.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 City Fun 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Windy City Girl 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 3 Eye On the Finish 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Northern Alliance 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Ms Sassy Atitude 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Seven Kingdoms 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Rapid Transit 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Texas Rain 3.50 SCRATCH
7 5 April’s Gem 12.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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