Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 22, 2021

August 22, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Lost Uncle 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 4 Eponine 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 3 Styner 15.00 5.2 10-1
12 7 Trip to Cairo 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 2 Divine Proportion 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 5 Vandy Candy 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 6 Magic of Love 30.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 I Want More 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fake I D 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Hair of the Dog 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Wonderville 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Looks Don’t Lie 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Irish Lion 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Charlie Potatoes 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Forced 0.40 3.5 7-1
2 2 Lifespan 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Top Boss 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 I’ve Gotta Plan 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Officer Appeal 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 The Method 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Family Fortune 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Eight Oaks 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Calypso Ghost 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ms Headley 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Bustin Hearts 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Arbutus 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Grecian Dancer 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Empty Net 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 7 My Dream Girl 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Love My Cat 4.50 2.9 6-1
11 8 Pau Hana 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 6 Honor the Tab 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Bob’s Lady 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Smart Entry 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Charliv 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Peachy Between Us 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Guapa Chica 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kyosha 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Expect the Sunrise 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magic Mule 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Expensive Style 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Rapid Response 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 The Cairo Kid 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Palatial Times 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Semper Fi 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Fast Cash 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Jack Gave Back 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Spitball 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unshakable U 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mo Normal 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 5 Broadway Melody 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Rona 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 4 Runaway Monet 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Cajole 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Alpha Zulu 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hey Babe 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dream About Me 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Venezuela 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lost My Vowcher 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Rrace Day Warrior 4.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Bobby Two Times 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Aperitivo 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Blue Sky Painter 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Golazo 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Where’s the Ben’s 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Johng 5.00 2.9 6-1
11 7 Broker’s Reward 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 My Boy Paddy 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 B Determined 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 6 Favorite Image 20.00 8 15-1
8 5 Monster Mason 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 3 Antipoison 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Benny Havens 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Goldie’s Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Somekindofmagician 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Macy’s Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Awesome Jazz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 The Big Mozz 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 5 Burgess 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Pet’s Night 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 4 Canherun 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Dirty Dirty 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Francis X. 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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