August 22, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Splicer | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Cuban Missile | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Faith | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Belle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Victory | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Delightful Breeze | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Island Winter | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning At Ease | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Goodie Goodie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Austin | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ivy Way | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Da Furious Cat | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Suspiciously Sweet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Reneesdreamgirl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frenchmen Street | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Earth | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reagan’s Heart | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Saman | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long Blade | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pagliacci | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kobe Fifty Two | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Kickn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Commissio | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proton Yoly | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elusive Uncaptured | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ilknur | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Allsystemsareago | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sena the Duchess | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mariahs Christmas | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sincere | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yeguita Queen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | King Force | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alado | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peppi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tap Gold | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Time to Wish | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jump Back Jack | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candenza | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Be Honest | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Possible Dear | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa’s Little Girl | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wonder Blondy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Miss Margie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bahamian Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Raspberry Ballet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candymeister | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brody’s Causeway | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Designed to Dazzle | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mudshaft | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veronicus | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aleida | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kumandra | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bellavalencia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gioconda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Numeric | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arete’s Chalice | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Say No More | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Fine | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Palimonium | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | T Ville | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Skipper Too | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hoorayhoorayhooray | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anythingbutsubtle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Twins Sneakers | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Rosillo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Had Right | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Green Crusader | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seize the Hay | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Surprise Factor | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J P Hellish | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Year | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big City Red | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kurt’s a Keeper | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ethos | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mista Donzella | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kick in the Gas | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Farm Strong | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | New York Style | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Timber | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flipping Fish | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lost a Legend | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Ice Beast | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miami Chrome | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nketiah | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gigantic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Warp Speed Baby | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mauro’s Team | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 10 | Sette Stelle | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Einstein | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Polin d’Oro | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Justice Warrior | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Star Deputy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Esperanto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Captured Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Finding Mischief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Campeador | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Authentic Heart | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Halfway Right | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Martin Fierro | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Black Limo | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Colonel Jackson | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.