Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 22, 2021

August 22, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Splicer 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 The Cuban Missile 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Uncaptured Faith 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Broadway Belle 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Magic Victory 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Delightful Breeze 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Island Winter 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Winning At Ease 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Miss Goodie Goodie 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Foxy Austin 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Ivy Way 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Da Furious Cat 30.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Suspiciously Sweet 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Reneesdreamgirl 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Frenchmen Street 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Earth 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Reagan’s Heart 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Gran Saman 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Long Blade 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Pagliacci 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Kobe Fifty Two 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Fuzzy Irish Rascal 30.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 I Kickn 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Commissio 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Proton Yoly 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Elusive Uncaptured 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Ilknur 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Allsystemsareago 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Sena the Duchess 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Mariahs Christmas 30.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Sincere 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Yeguita Queen 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 King Force 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Alado 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 5 Peppi 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Tap Gold 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Time to Wish 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Jump Back Jack 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Candenza 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Let’s Be Honest 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tiz Possible Dear 1.40 3 6-1
3 3 Papa’s Little Girl 5.00 3.4 7-1
7 6 Wonder Blondy 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sassy Miss Margie 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bahamian Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Raspberry Ballet 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Candymeister 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Brody’s Causeway 4.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Designed to Dazzle 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mudshaft 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Storm Dream 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Veronicus 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Aleida 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Kumandra 20.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Bellavalencia 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gioconda 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Numeric 20.00 10 19-1
9 9 Arete’s Chalice 20.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Say No More 20.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Super Fine 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Palimonium 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 T Ville 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 The Skipper Too 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Hoorayhoorayhooray 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Anythingbutsubtle 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 The Twins Sneakers 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 El Rosillo 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Had Right 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 The Green Crusader 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Seize the Hay 2.50 3.6 7-1
10 8 Surprise Factor 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 J P Hellish 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 New Year 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Big City Red 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Kurt’s a Keeper 10.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Ethos 12.00 8.5 16-1
8 7 Mista Donzella 10.00 8.9 17-1
12 10 Kick in the Gas 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 9 Farm Strong 15.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Ranger Up 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 New York Style 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dark Timber 2.50 2 4-1
4 3 Flipping Fish 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Lost a Legend 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 The Ice Beast 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Miami Chrome 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Nketiah 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gigantic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Warp Speed Baby 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Mauro’s Team 1.40 SCRATCH
14 10 Sette Stelle 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mr. Einstein 4.50 SCRATCH
9 6 Polin d’Oro 12.00 6.3 12-1
13 9 Justice Warrior 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 7 Star Deputy 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Esperanto 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Captured Star 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Finding Mischief 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Campeador 2.50 SCRATCH
8 5 Authentic Heart 30.00 10.7 20-1
5 2 Halfway Right 30.00 11.6 22-1
6 3 Martin Fierro 30.00 11.7 22-1
11 8 Black Limo 30.00 12.2 23-1
3 1 Colonel Jackson 30.00 12.7 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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