August 21, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Triple Elvis | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Major General | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Napa Valley | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Raymond | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fan the Fire | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Heist | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilded Age | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Judge Davis | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Lights | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zainalarab | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Portilla | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dial Me Up | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Primacy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halo City | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Smart N Fancy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Piedi Bianchi | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Guitar | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robin Sparkles | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hydra | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Gale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Know It All Red | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tangerine Dream | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tellaperfecttale | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maria’s Gift | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escapology | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Handle the Truth | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Belle | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Decreed | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Undetectable | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prairie Tales | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Tiergan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Too Early | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Matty’s Express | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Good Old Boy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Six Percent | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Chic N Wilbur | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Speaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Out East | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Big Q | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Beautiful Karen | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betsy Blue | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Fair Regis | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinky Sox | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | The Important One | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awsum Roar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Silky Blue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Purrageous Dyna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kokopelli | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Prankster | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cogburn | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seal Beach | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reserve Currency | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellinger | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skate to Heaven | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triumphant Road | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fromanothamutha | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Sense | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | El Sobreviviente | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Identity Politics | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Golani Brigade | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Charlie Five O | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Therisastormbrewin | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | American Rule | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Respect for All | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restoring Hope | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vulcan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Striking Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lake Placid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Loveaffair | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ego Trip (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Rumour | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovestruck | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Illiogami | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Alabama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Malathaat | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maracuja | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Wife | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Beautiful | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clairiere | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Played Hard | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will’s Secret | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5 | Perfect Grace | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Ingress | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Epona Bay | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Good Talk | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Rhombique | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gauff (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Split Then Double (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gailhorsewind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Bonnie T | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | So Enchanting | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Go Native | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mayhap | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.