Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 21, 2021

August 21, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mayfield of Dreams 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 English Charmer 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Ciarrai Abu 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Americas Woman 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Pass It On 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Double Happiness 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Gimme’s Goldengirl 5.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Bay of Angels 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mosler’s Image 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sevilla Sangria 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Bust Out Lady 30.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Prinecess Doir 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 H P Moon 2.50 2.2 4-1
8A 5 Bold Leader 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 6 Radical Right 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 4 Money Room 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Materialize 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 Natagar 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Cold City 6.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Conclusive 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 The Boz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tauber 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Railmaster 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 6 Gale Winds 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 7 Ima Ima Starboy 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 By the Sey Shore 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Joseph 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Power Back 30.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Pascal Chant 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Prince Pere 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rad Paisley 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prodigious Bay 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 6 Dream Big Dreams 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Jebologist 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Welling 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Can’t Pass It Up 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Shackled Love 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Classified Info 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 6 Leave ‘Em Loaded 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 3 On the Engine 8.00 4.9 9-1
14 7 Criticize 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 4 Elusive Jester 15.00 7.7 14-1
4 1 Mentalist 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 5 Jack of Hearts 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 2 Honor My World 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Malibu Heaven 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tipyourhattothat 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Creative Storm 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rip It 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 War Light 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Honey Island 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Le Peace Treaty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Miss Disco S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Malibu Beauty 1.40 1.3 3-1
1 1 My My Girl 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Hitch a Ride 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Response Time 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Street Lute 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – All Brandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Judi Blue Eyes 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Quiet Company 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Artful Splatter 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Forever Dreaming 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Kiss the Girl 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Dendrobia 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Good Life Cider 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Awesome Jazz 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Breviary 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Holly’s Lady 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Star De Naskra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alwaysinahurry 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Jaxon Traveler 1.20 1.9 4-1
2 2 Cry No More 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Kenny Had a Notion 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Exculpatory 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Find S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Cannon’s Roar 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Trifor Gold 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 6 Nick Papagiorgio 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Somekindofmagician 8.00 4 8-1
3 2 Alwaysmining 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Closer Look 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Benny Havens 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Street Copper 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Tappin Cat 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Cordmaker 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rock the Boat 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Pederson’s Courage 1.20 2.6 5-1
2 2 Badger Tooth 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Callyourightback 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Treasure Tradition 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Whatchasaid 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tenax 15.00 4.5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 13:39
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Final
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Final
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4th - 9:17
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4th - 6:19
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4th - 8:29
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3rd - 6:20
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3rd - 8:35
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2nd - 3:24
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