August 21, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mirasol | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keychain Girl | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Easy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infinite Empire | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benedict Canyon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Cherie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Booze Runner | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Major Cabbie | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Valor | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | P R Radio Star | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Pass | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smileforme | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Taught | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buttered Noodles | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ottawa Fire (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evening Sun (GB) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mohawk King (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Fast Bro | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Constitutionaffair | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memo Daddy (CHI) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Addouma | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dominant Soul | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kamui | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forbidden Kingdom | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Portsmouth | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhetoric | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beef Winslow | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Key Is Unity | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Met | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Barbwire | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Subconscious | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Offlee Naughty | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tulsa Tornado | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Scout | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Affable | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hulk | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | El Joy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shotgun Express (IRE) | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oncoming | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jedi Master | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reserve | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Torrey Pines S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lisette | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m So Anna | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Caraway | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Mission | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Mystify | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day Plan | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeanne B | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Forza | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Like Strait | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Road | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neptune’s Storm | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Count Again | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Next Shares | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Risk and Reward | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Established | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Positivity | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Shake | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Littlebitamedal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scary Fast Smile | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Family Biz | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adare | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Magician | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizhotndusty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madone | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Global (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fluffy Socks | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Closing Remarks | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soaring Sky (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Javanica | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tetragonal (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feathers (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ivy League | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tvg Pacific Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tizamagician | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Express Train | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Post | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Independence Hall | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripoli | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cupid’s Claws | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic On Tap | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff Brown | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | United | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arklow | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Say the Word | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master Piece (CHI) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red King | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masteroffoxhounds | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acclimate | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Award Winner | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crossfirehurricane | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Astronaut | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Media Blitz | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.