August 20, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Briggs | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fingal | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fifty Sheas Ofgrey | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | City Magic | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hilliard | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Subsidize | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chao | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Makin My Move | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Empire Lily | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trinity Titoli | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Succulent | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bells On Her Toes | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Fist | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Banks | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speranza | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Market Alert | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scuttlebuzz | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alphalfa | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scocciatore | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New York’s Finest | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Outlaws | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Harry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 5 | Recidivist | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Cousin Rich | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoopla | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Brutus | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rickys Revenge | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Private Code | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Abdan | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Clemenza | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Achilles Heel | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resilient Courage | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makart | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sundaeswithsandy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kingdom On Paws | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excursionniste | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Gent | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingham Hill | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amalgamator | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Capital Structure (GB) | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flighty Lady (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Enjoyitwhilewecan | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Dragontea (GB) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cat’s Pajamas | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sister Otoole | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Here Comes Jackie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Emilia’s Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Singita Dreams | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Road to Success | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme Some Mo | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lokoya Road | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moonlight Now | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scotto | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chase Tracker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scotty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breaking Stones | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Repo Rocks | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Critical Threat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Indeed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Realm | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | F F Rocket | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Likeable | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Court Press | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Luigi | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocco Strong | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Skidmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Pure Panic | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Averly Jane | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Backnthewoods | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Golden Bell | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Overbore | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barone Cesco | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bonus Appreciation | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catch the Smoke | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Baytown Warrior | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaufymaker | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Sweet Mission | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Never Content (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salino | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Dearest Kitten | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Nutter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Malibu Anthem | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby Squared | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Exotic Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hard Won | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mothers Day Jewel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mischief Reigns | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.