August 20, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Murph | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Mo Better | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dry Well | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louella Street | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redwhiteandtacos | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Fable | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bound for Broadway | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hufflepuff | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapdancing Girl | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Castilleja | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Kokachin | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Live Aid | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crystalology | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Kickstarter | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Speightster Red | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Josef Is Real | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ladneedsahandler | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cayman Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crying for More | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eric’s Empire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Amen Corner | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Federale | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Keeping the Peace | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ticker Tape Parade | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Step | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Big Hambone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Claire’s Darling | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lambeau Lady | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Artemis Rising | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heart of God | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sick Pack Sara | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aprilness | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alluring Rumba | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Great Cause | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grand Skylark | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tremendous | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Houdini | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rippolino | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Alan | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gregoria’s Bay | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Olive Kat | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whispurring Kitten | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Heaven | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bunting | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fifteen Royals | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Ice | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ellanation | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Grace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unrequited Love | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Double | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raised Wrong | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Lynne | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Ideas | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday in L B C | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Netti Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.