Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 20, 2021

August 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 8 Our Ten Angels 4.50 3.8 7-1
11 9 Blazinonbayou 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Princess Kylise 8.00 5 10-1
7 6 Mericathebeautiful 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Tonala 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Exaggerated Moment 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Blue Eye Kitten 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 5 Streaking Grey 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Toolegittoquit 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Belle’s Kingdom 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Monetary Surprise 4.50 3.2 6-1
10 8 Cagua 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 David’s Rose 3.00 4 8-1
9 7 Hops Petunia 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Del Rey Dolly 12.00 5.8 11-1
12 10 More Mucho 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Noble Present 20.00 8 15-1
6 4 Lady Younes 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Adios Dixie 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Wow Tapit 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ivy Way 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Magic Victory 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Delightful Breeze 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Miss Goodie Goodie 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Oodles On Fire 30.00 11.8 22-1
11 9 Ballymena 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Neophyte 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Po Boy 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Whiskeyonhislips 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Super Necessary 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Chiquito Baby 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Run Lea Run 10.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Furciferous 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Mundial 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Takemyshot 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Indeed Indeed 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Heavy Weight 30.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Noicattaro 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shirley’s Sherman 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Creative Cloud 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Nacho Papa 1.40 1.8 3-1
4 4 Uno Tiger 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 The Red Man 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Converter 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dark Ages 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Nantan Lupan 3.50 2.8 5-1
10 8 Doo Wop Don 3.00 3.1 6-1
12 10 Khocu 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Bulk 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 4 Cheval Dore 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Can’t Be Broken 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Trinni Summer 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 9 Give Me Two Steps 15.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 Smooth Music 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 3 Bottom Deck 20.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Dalio 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mindship Q 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brasstown 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Trappezoid 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Causalistic 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Malibu Max 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Meade 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Aycapote 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mr Tito’s 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Saturday Nite Girl 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sum Return 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Castle Born 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Magnolia Road 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Kelsey’s Shot 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Barbara 12.00 3.7 7-1
13 12 Easy Come Easy Go 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Presencia 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Know by Heart (IRE) 20.00 5.9 11-1
12 11 Angelic Storm 30.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Beautiful Rosalia 30.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Opalina 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sneaky Cheeky 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Queen Macha 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Baby Blue 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Malibu Sky 50.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vinnie Van Go 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Royal Squeeze 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fast Loaded 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Tiger 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Ensign Parker 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cajun Commander 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sososubtle 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Gran Casique 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Emicrack (CHI) 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Try Me 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Discreet Tune 1.40 2.7 5-1
9 8 Loyal Louie 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Smoke Alarm 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Venerate 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Bahamian Beat 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Bach 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gold Ducat 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Audrey 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Leyenda 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Silver Package 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Carismatica 6.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Nenita 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Viva La Reina 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 The Biggest One 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Maricopa 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Queen Abarrio 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Mangrove Mamma 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Auburn 30.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Cherry Rock Bridge 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Astromelia 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
Halftime
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Final
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4th - 4:31
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3rd - 3:15
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3rd - 1:26
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3rd - 4:29
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 11:17
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