August 20, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stage Ready | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dubby Dubbie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Premio | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blameless | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fuente (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cucina | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Club | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zero Tolerance | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Socially Smart | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katerini | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | M Is for Magic | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Pharaoh’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet and Cheeky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indian Peak | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | North County Guy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artie’s Rumor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Plus | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bob and Jackie | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jasmine Chieftain | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Righteously | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Blend | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simmer Down | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yellow Dress | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Al’s Princess | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Later Days | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerralia | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Muay Thai (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rookie Year | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Man Friday | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Del Oro | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vantage Point | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ingest | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Chicken | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kennebec | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back Ring Luck | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sensemaker | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gates of Heaven | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scotish Star (ARG) | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Sound | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edgeway | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Emma | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candura | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Distant Vista (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Commander (FR) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whooping Jay | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tilted Towers | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torosay | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Ethos | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Harbor | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Citrus Burst | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mikes Tiznow | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Switch | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preskitt | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spoiled Rotten | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wedding Chapel | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shemakescents | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moroccan Queen | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Addydidit | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Endless Thirst | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Varick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Ju Forget | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.