August 19, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Queen | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cindervella | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Wind | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ladies Signature | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wake Up Maggie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leon Azul | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Candy’s Dream | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orbaline | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out Atthe Speedway | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roche’s Point | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leave It With Me | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tara Dawn | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eleanor Powell | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ann of Cleves | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | November Fog | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Justleaveitalone | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Teacher’s Pet | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bayou Belle | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Dahlia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Frac Tales | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jokers Run | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shuddacuddawudda | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marais | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nice Company | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hekla’s Aura | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bella Lalou | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mi Tormenta | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Not Perfect | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Sky | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pledge | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Soul | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Factoire | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scatter the Clouds | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bodacious Miss | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swirling Dancer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sir Winston | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Forces | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Silencer | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mambo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Laser | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timeskip | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Savvy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factoring | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gelato Amore | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Girasol | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grateful Praise | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Close Image | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Airy Fairy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Five Days in May | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bellaspina | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Bestia | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For My Elbi | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pippi | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Selfless Devotion | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Shishka | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Viracocha | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Astylish Katz | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Bit of Sunshine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rule the Sea | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Osveta | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Dad Rocks | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gone Silent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Musically Inclined | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Baby Driver | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.