Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 19, 2021

August 19, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kinda Lucky 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Along the Way 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sue Savy 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lucky Lorraine 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Peacelovenkarma 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Steely Band 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Holiday Raid 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Auld Lange Syne 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 4 Factor This In 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 It’s Fate 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 American Roma 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Good Good 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 6 Neighborhood Bully 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Threethehardway 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shoulda Had It 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Axxerator 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Powerful Force 1.50 3.6 7-1
11 7 Run On the Trail 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 4 Whodeewho 12.00 7 13-1
4 2 Somethingandchange 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Minecrafter 15.00 8 15-1
9 6 Herecomesthehammer 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Amarillo 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Asset Talent 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Solar Tap 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Onlygodcanjudgeme 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whata Guy 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Judicial Mandate 4.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Mission Key 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Event Party 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Heaven’s Got Fire 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Award Nominated 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Bold Licorice 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Allaboutthebeach 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Lucky Britches 1.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Uncle Ken 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Crownedcountcristo 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Omati 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Know It Now 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Singlino 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Lord Eddard Stark 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 3 The King Cheek 1.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Estilo Varonil 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 4 Remember Hymn 6.00 5.4 10-1
13 9 Galilee 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 6 Another Lulu 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Restless Rocker 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 7 Eden Rock 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 3 Out of Towner 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Fomo 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Notorious Rey 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Spirited Sol 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hard Timer 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Point of Humor 2.50 SCRATCH
7 5 English Lad 15.00 10.5 20-1
11 8 Don Ciccio 20.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Shane’s Jewel 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 2 Bird King 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Dr Blarney 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Dontmesawithme 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Senior Investment 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Honor the Fleet 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Caribbean (AUS) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Divine Choice 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Promise of Joy 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Time Sensitive 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Catirusia 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Miss Svengail 10.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Normalizeddeviance 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Summer Sweetheart 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Monkey On My Back 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Wrongfully Accused 12.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Miss Jasser 20.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Enough Kisses 20.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 1:31
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Final
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4th - 9:55
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3rd - 8:57
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3rd - 7:47
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3rd - 8:53
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2nd - 3:42
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2nd - 2:36
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1st - 4:36
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