August 19, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kinda Lucky | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Along the Way | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sue Savy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Lorraine | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peacelovenkarma | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steely Band | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Raid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Auld Lange Syne | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Factor This In | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Fate | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | American Roma | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Good | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Neighborhood Bully | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Threethehardway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shoulda Had It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Axxerator | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Powerful Force | 1.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Run On the Trail | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Whodeewho | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Somethingandchange | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Minecrafter | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Herecomesthehammer | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amarillo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Asset Talent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Solar Tap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whata Guy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judicial Mandate | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mission Key | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Event Party | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Award Nominated | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Licorice | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allaboutthebeach | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Lucky Britches | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Ken | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crownedcountcristo | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Omati | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Know It Now | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Singlino | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lord Eddard Stark | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | The King Cheek | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Estilo Varonil | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Remember Hymn | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Galilee | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Another Lulu | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Restless Rocker | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Eden Rock | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Out of Towner | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fomo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Notorious Rey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spirited Sol | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hard Timer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Point of Humor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | English Lad | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Don Ciccio | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Shane’s Jewel | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bird King | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr Blarney | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dontmesawithme | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Senior Investment | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor the Fleet | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caribbean (AUS) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Divine Choice | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise of Joy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time Sensitive | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catirusia | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Svengail | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Normalizeddeviance | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Sweetheart | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monkey On My Back | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wrongfully Accused | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Jasser | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enough Kisses | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.