Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, August 16, 2021

August 16, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Rakin in Mo 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Duzey 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 4 Power of Royalty 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hastabetickled 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Easy Torero 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 What You Know 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ridley On the Run 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Rnc Cardshark Jones 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Hasta Be a Moose 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fastest Leader 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Wit K O 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 High Waves Return 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Phazer 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ts Perry Kool 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Tell Her Hes Candy 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Kool Aid Wagon 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Ts Lil Cash 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Vals Sizzling Lips 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Villegas La Capo 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Lil Pistol Pete 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Louisiana Wagon 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Choot Em Lizz 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Glisten Up 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Eye of Rose 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Jess Lippy 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Katch This Eagle 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Nsm Zoomer 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Jack Frosted 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Ready to Get Loud 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Denali Rocket 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Mingo Magic 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sennebec Summer 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Lemons Is Gone 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Dyna’s Holiday 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alan’s Argument 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Flat Rock 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sailor Chow 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Macho Madness 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Quana Dude 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Breakin Daylight 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Malibu Mo 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coco Tiger 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 Boo Be Right 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lookin for Eight 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ravens Reflection 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Limbo’s Promise 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 North Side 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Nocturnal Mission 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Smart N Intuitive 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Red White and Loud 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 His Giant 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Warrior’s Lullaby 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Big Barrel 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 News Box 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Thrown for a Loupe 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Loch Garman 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky D 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Jaysker 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dazzl’n Mischief 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Heza Wild Ride 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 You Talkin to Me 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Chinlee 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sir Eli 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Circuit Rider 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nautical Miss 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 C L Legacy 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Samira 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Gotta Have Faith 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Trouble in Red 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Tapit’s Lady 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Raggy 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Ruthie Rules 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Who’s My Girl 15.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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