Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, August 16, 2021

August 16, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Vegas Life 2.00 1.3 2-1
8 5 Inside Risk 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Toga Challenger 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 4 James Ciro 10.00 5 9-1
3 2 Street Shark 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Chief Exchanger 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Thurman Merman 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hollywood Overdogs 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Commissioner G 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Muchacho Macho 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Percher 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tempting the Tiger 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ilovecharlybrown 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Screen Star 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Forefront 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gran Michelle 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Kabikeka 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Courageous Grace 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Moon Me Again 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Palio Siena 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Fred’s Sheila 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Bella Serena 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Kefaliani 12.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Kirby 12.00 8.6 16-1
1A 9 Status Asthmaticus 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Flat Out Flashy 1.40 1.7 3-1
4 3 Souper Fly Over 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Borsa Vento 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Red Again 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Mucho Mas Grande 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Wild About Deb 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 4 They Shot Sonny 1.40 SCRATCH
5 5 Town Jak 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 D’craziness 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Dashing Lou 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 2 Ghost Hunter 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 6 Dover Cliffs 8.00 5 9-1
11 8 Jag 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 3 Yei Yei 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 5 Rock Solid Golfer 20.00 8.6 16-1
12 9 Get a Valentine 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Nileator 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 El Pillo 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Colonel Moorhead 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jammer 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Southern Saviour 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Always Sunshine 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Factor It In 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Arch Cat 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Easy Day 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Threes Over Deuces 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Violent Turbulence 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hopeful Treasure 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Cape Henlopen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wissahickon 3.00 1.9 4-1
11 10 Cibolian 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Forloveofcountry 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Oceans Map 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Sunset Kiss (GB) 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Real Factor 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Adventist 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 8 Mokheef 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Sandy Lane Kitten 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Luck Money 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sister Otoole 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fiery Lady 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Field Officer 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Maid the Journey 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Bastien Le Brown 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Uncle Cecil 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Purrs Well 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Metrallazo 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Calichito 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Bama Drifter 10.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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