Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 15, 2021

August 15, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Congress Hall 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Zig 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sublimity 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Solea 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sacred Lady 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Lookin for Candy 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dominating Buyer 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Green Eyes 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Keepyourskateson 3.00 4 8-1
6 5 Ms. Haiti 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Megalomania 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pass It On 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Miner’s Gem 30.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Tuff But Fair 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Royal Thunder 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Self Awareness 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 3 Fugitive 4.00 3 6-1
6 4 Sir Lenny 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Fast Cash 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Commanding General 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Spotted Bull 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Completed Pass 0.60 2.7 5-1
8 6 Hard Fought 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Gins and Tins 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 South Sea 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Deshackled 30.00 5 9-1
7 5 Warm Sunny Breeze 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Hard Belle 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fort Fortitude 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Oldies But Goodies 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cranston’s Network 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Effulgent 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Francis X. 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Miracle Bobbie 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Fore On Seven 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Rippolino 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ferocious Storm 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Chromeplated Heart 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Fast Lani 1.80 4.6 9-1
3 3 Polished Gal 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Behind the Couch 3.50 5.6 11-1
8 7 Miss Majorette 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Rapidashqueen 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Trikki Nikki 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Buckey’s Charm 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 No Venti No Wavy 20.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Tayler’s Chrome 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stay Out 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Snow Forecast 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Everett’s Song 1.80 1 2-1
4 3 Sue Loves Barbados 5.00 3 6-1
3 2 Kenny Had a Notion 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Cash Comes First 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 It’s Sizzling Time 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sibelius 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Ghost Maiden 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Leia Organa 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Happylife 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Mexicali Rose 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Monster Rising 5.00 4 8-1
5 4 Cali Divine 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Dixie’s Fascinator 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Kinda Lucky 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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4th - 11:44
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3rd - 11:23
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