August 15, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Invincibella (GB) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I’m the Hero | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Mistress | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storming Lady | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Busy Paynter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Smiling Annie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Kitness | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saving Sophie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | On Deck | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sauls Call | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Know Cash Flow | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thirsty Chapo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizlightning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Orth | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gemini Bay | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Toasted At Dawn | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blazing Candy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smoken Shadow | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Swede | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gidgetta | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelcents | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Ballad | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ole Silver | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Five Pics Please | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fantasy Heat | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Never for Money | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acting Out | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ana Lisa | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vaporized | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Heir (FR) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Well | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paint Me Lucky | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Investment Account | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whistleblower | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Ziggy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongol Altai | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Voyager | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hemmerle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helens Well (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Very Scary | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carroll Girl | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Crown for Kitten | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s Dove | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charlotte Harbor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Beachgrass | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Set the Tone | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Macrelletta | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soul of a Warrior | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Stopper | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pasito | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flat Out Joy | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Mistress | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Angel’s Advocate | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Listen to Blue | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What Goes On Tour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Coal Shaft | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daring Cat | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jamminjl | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bold Mistress | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Secret Maneuver | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Run Like Kona | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warm Summer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Warren’s Showtime | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pulpit Rider | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sedamar | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leggs Galore | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cassie Belle | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nardini | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leprino | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causeididitmyway | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Treasure | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsthattime | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Troutman | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Insider | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Route Six Six | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Owning | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nerves of Steel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vantastic | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | C Falls | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Refuge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Foothill | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sea of Liberty | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | East Rand | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuego Caliente | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best Chance | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twilight Rider | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Onenightstandards | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.