Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 14, 2021

August 14, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Ichigo 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Raeford 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Jarlian 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 5 Vlajko 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 4 Royalian 6.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Transfer the Funds 10.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Malibu Heaven 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Borgobythesea 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Magic of Love 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Divine Proportion 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Clever and Great 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Replicant 0.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tiny Tin 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Glorious Weekend 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Manklin Creek 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Stand My Ground 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Baltimore Bulleit 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Twist ‘n Twirl 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 1 Cynergy’s Star 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Summer Ash 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Addy’s Laddy T N T 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Gallant Gold 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Neigh Dude 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Littlebitalily 1.40 1.8 3-1
3 3 Scarlet Tanager 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Jeanie’s Angel 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Joyful Noise 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ravenel 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Calypso Ghost 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Ordinary Girl 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 7 Tidal Waters 3.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Capstone Girl 2.00 3 6-1
5 4 Flava’s Dream 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Tipsy Tourist 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Icy Harbor 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Vandy Candy 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Little Ms Scarlet 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Eponine 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Looks Don’t Lie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Starburst 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Heir Port 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Going to the Lead 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Abuelo Paps 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Dr. Rusty Raymond 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Higher Purpose 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Rad Paisley 8.00 6 11-1
9 8 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Shackled Love 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 4 Bouncing Around 3.00 2.7 5-1
10 5 Johnny Sack 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Call Me Plucky 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 1 Depository 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 3 Super E 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mr. d’Angelo 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Benny Havens 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sound the Charge 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Take Profit 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Eastern Bay 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Nashvegas 5.00 2.4 4-1
4A 4 D’ Rapper 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Noble Commander 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Belle Tapisserie 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Stroll Smokin 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Rough Sea 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jovis 20.00 5.8 11-1
6A 6 Seanow 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Wolf Ranger 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 One Most Wanted 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jestful 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 Bridge of Hope 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Grecian Pharoah 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 War Light 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Storm Tower 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Honey Island 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gandolfo 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 I Want More 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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