Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 13, 2021

August 13, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arms an Armor 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Big Little Risk 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Far Away Look 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Flipping Fun 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Bielefeld 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 My Primo 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kisses for Val 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Being Me 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Junkanoo 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Summer to Remember 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Stanford (IRE) 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Price Talk 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 6 Malthael 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Liveyourbeastlife 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 All West 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hyperfocus 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Glory Road 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Coalition Building 1.20 2.1 4-1
7 6 Now Yus Cant Leave 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 9 Evvie Jets 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Wow 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Salit 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Wicked Happy 12.00 5 9-1
9 8 Synonymous 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Satch 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 7 Suffragette 30.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Naked On the Beach 8.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Infinite Potential (IRE) 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Six Pack 2.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Likeable 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Air Show 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Supply and Demand 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Trash Talker 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Daggerboard 15.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Tallaj 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speedometer 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 More Than Vows 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Champagne Camie 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Lia Marina 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Splitsecondsonny 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Bubble Rock 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Lady Danae 12.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Seduce 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Halo of Fire 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 The Elle Train (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Union Dolly 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 A Mo Reay 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Celestial 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Stormy Stella 15.00 11.8 22-1
2 2 Toeris 15.00 12 23-1
10 10 Full Count Felicia 15.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Doc Doc Rock 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Sue Ellen Mishkin 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Howdyoumakeurmoney 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Royal Currency 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mama Said No 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Caragate 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Classic Vinman 15.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Alicia’s Way 15.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Ace Up Her Sleeve 15.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Beautiful Banks 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Silver Fist 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Makin My Move 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Trinity Titoli 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Succulent 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Twist Just Right 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Our Tiny Dancer 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Masterof the Tunes 12.00 4 8-1
9 8 Choose Happiness 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Pure Bode 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 My Lips Are Sealed 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 More Glitter 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Pretty Clever 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Cara’s Dreamer 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Freedom Machine 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mopolka 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Unicorn Sally 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Golden Oldie 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lot of Honey 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cheatham Hill 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ok Honey 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Della Lute 50.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Noble Emotion 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Shekky Shebaz 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Duress 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Joker On Jack 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 7 Competitive Saint 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Matta 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Lomu 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Ragtime Blues 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 O’Trouble 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tale Of The Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wind of Change (BRZ) 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Wondrwherecraigis 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Foolish Ghost 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 My Boy Tate 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Shashashakemeup 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bon Raison 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Vikram 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Profusion 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Good Culture 4.50 3 6-1
9 8 Well Done West 1.80 3 6-1
5 4 Litterbox 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Taino 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Apex Predator 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Centavo 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Joey Loose Lips 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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