Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 13, 2021

August 13, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Great Cause 1.40 2.5 5-1
2 2 Meet Michelle 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sunday in L B C 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Adabel 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Slip Slidin 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 My Way Or Else 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vodkatini 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 I’m Gittin There 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 6 California Bella 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Runup 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Preparefortakeoff 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 At the Gate 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Mama G’s Wish 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dry Well 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frankee Merch 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Keepyourguardup 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Golazo 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Gator Fifty Two 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Justice of War 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 New York One 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Swing Your Sword 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frosteria 0.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Mattitude 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Brandyurafinegirl 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Belle of the North 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Backstreet Gal 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Tasfeeq 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ginamaya 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Maggie’s Bid 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 The Big K 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 3 Little Bold Bandit 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 4 Hushed Hijinks 3.00 5.2 10-1
9 5 Smitten Enough 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Pepe and Heywood 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Power Back 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Noble Callisto 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Belmullet 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Kickstarter 1.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Street Prayer 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Top Boss 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Diamond Setter 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Solomonic 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Pitching Ari 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Hayne’s Fever 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Talented Dr. B 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Greek Prince 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Snoop 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Mr. J. McKay 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Contented Now 6.00 2.4 4-1
8 5 Irishman 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Lightning Rod 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 4 Left Blank 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Dance On the Moon 50.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Rip It 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Nth Power 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Santo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Thundershook 1.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Tybalt 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Tappin Cat 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Air Token 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Workin On a Dream 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Fool Yourself 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Danger Zone 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 A Girl Named Jac 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Who U Gonna Call 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Beckon 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Champagne Toast 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Maureenlovesfrank 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sweet Talking Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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