Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 12, 2021

August 12, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Little Miss Cat 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 3 Sea Fret 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 The Twelfth 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Chasing Destiny 12.00 4 8-1
3 2 Bring Da Fudge 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Drumgreenaghbridge 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silent Guroo 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Jungle Goddess 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Let’s Have Fun 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Storm Gauge 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Valley Girl 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Our Ticket 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 She’s a True Fox 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Savoia 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Captain Handsome 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Yola 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Blind Trust 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Northern Solution 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Spring Edition 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Now We Are Nine 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Knopfler 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Modus Operandi 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Westlodge Intrigue 4.00 3 6-1
9 8 Canadian Magic 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Big Mamba 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Rince Tapaigh 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Finding Perfection 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Line of Vision 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sprog 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 H Is Just a Number 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Brass Compass 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Rocket Plan 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Executive Sight 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Moon Over Montana 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Pink Lemonade 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Epilogue 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kitten’s Solution 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hollywood Ring 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Popthechampagne 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Classy Mistress 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Outclass 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 You Thrill Me 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 San Nicola Star 8.00 5 10-1
7 7 Kecameifyoucan 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Audition 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Federal Court 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Victor’s Dynasty 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Four Aces High 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Souper Hot 1.80 2.9 5-1
2 2 Rockcrest 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Red Frog 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Yzerman 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Whiskey Victor 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Speedy Lynn 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Polar Appeal 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 5 Classy Gizmo 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 No Whammie 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Alpha Mia 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hit and Run 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 6 Arra Go Wan 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Chief Stew 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Shan’s Tiger 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lacougra 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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