Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 12, 2021

August 12, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gimmedamoney 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Juggler 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Aggregation 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Convertible Freeze 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Who Hoo Thats Me 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Daufuskie Island 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ava K’s Boy 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Drosel Diem 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Knightly Mischief 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Whimsical Muse 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Blue Atlas 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Candy Flower 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Five Alarm Robin 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Flashing Red 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lagom 8.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Daria’s Angel 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Saratoga Dew H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Espresso Shot 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mrs. Orb 1.20 1.9 4-1
3 3 Maiden Beauty 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Simply Ravishing 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Dancing Kiki 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Spungie 1.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Chocolate Cookie 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mischievous Dream 3.50 4 8-1
7 5 Kreesie 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Light in the Sky 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cartwheel 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Silky Blue 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Key Point 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 6 Cozzy’s Attitude 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Silver Samurai 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Surprise Boss 4.50 1.9 4-1
10 9 Happy Happy B 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Pepe’s Pride 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Hot Rod Rumble 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Wicked Bobby 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Kenny Hustle 50.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Bemo 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Skyward Princess 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Pimenova 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Classic Lynne 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Cricket West 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Adversity 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Lady of Thoroton 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Dufresne 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 My Cara Mia Mine 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 I’ll Go All In 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Captainsdaughter 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Makin My Move 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Classic Vinman 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Royal Currency 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Let Her Inspire U 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Helens Spirit 50.00 11.8 22-1
8 8 Rcaptivating 50.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 2 Hollywood Gina 4.00 1.9 4-1
10A 8 Nicky Scissors 4.00 2 4-1
7 5 Malibu Luna 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Traffic Lane 6.00 3.4 6-1
12 10 Hey It’s Tati 4.50 3.9 7-1
11 9 On a Tour 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 6 Sweeter 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Take It Off 30.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Thief of Hearts 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Amity Island 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 East Wing 8.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Gagliano 30.00 10.4 20-1
6 4 Love Me Tomorrow 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Briefcase Bully 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mihos 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Letmeno 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Shoplifted 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Chocolate Bar 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Mojovation 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle’s Gem 2.00 1.7 3-1
11 10 Get the Candy 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Canarsie Angel 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Snicket 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Fractorzation 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Athena Dancer 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Itsakeyper 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Mosienko 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Jen’s Battle 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lot of Honey 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Beautiful Karen 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Proper Grammar 20.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Shesasuperfreak 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Abaan 6.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 No Burn 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Amano 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Group Hug 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 I Am the Law 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Royal Tryst 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Incitatus 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Complicate 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Semper Fidelis 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Rhythmic Ruler 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 L’Artiste 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Prayer Book 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gold Bear 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mubtadaa 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bold Victory 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Dinner Bell 30.00 11.7 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
2nd - 10:16
Details
4th - 1:27
Details
3rd - 6:29
Details
2nd - 0:00
Details
2nd - 0:29
Details
2nd - 1:56
Details
1st - 0:27
Details
1st - 0:52
Details
Details
Details
Go to Scoreboard