August 12, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Grace | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aldo’s Kitten | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ingreido | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Enough | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Exception | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epigrammatist | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upper Crown | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Long Point Beach | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Will Take Roses | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mikey’s Jewel | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Alibi | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congaree Rose | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iza One | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Now | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lana | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mountain Lilly | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinda Lucky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lorraine | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sue Savy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Along the Way | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peacelovenkarma | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpingforjoy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steely Band | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Calypso Ghost | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Toast to Kay | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Costa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chit Chat Girl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Pal | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Susikin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cougar Vision | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stop Talking | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaylie’s Girl | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee’snbee’s | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fomo | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remember Hymn | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Estilo Varonil | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Combating | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirited Sol | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Out of Towner | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wiseman’s Secret | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don Ciccio | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Noble Commander | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | D’ Rapper | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Seanow | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 4 | King Nekia | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Big City Bob | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 6 | Meru | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Ace Nine Nine | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | The King Cheek | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sound the Charge | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Marco | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Artistic Endeavor | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Know It Now | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Omati | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centerfoldprospect | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Pianzi | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Benandjoe | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Depository | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Northern Ridge | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am That I Am | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Eddard Stark | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Volnay | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peculiarity | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time Sensitive | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Svengail | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Normalizeddeviance | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catirusia | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jasser | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monkey On My Back | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrongfully Accused | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enough Kisses | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.