Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 12, 2021

August 12, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 True Grace 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Aldo’s Kitten 1.60 3 6-1
5 5 Ingreido 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Just Enough 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 The Exception 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Epigrammatist 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Upper Crown 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Long Point Beach 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Will Take Roses 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Mikey’s Jewel 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Creative Alibi 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Congaree Rose 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Iza One 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Spectacular Now 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Lana 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mountain Lilly 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Kinda Lucky 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lucky Lorraine 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Sue Savy 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Along the Way 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Peacelovenkarma 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jumpingforjoy 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Steely Band 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Calypso Ghost 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 A Toast to Kay 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mary Costa 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Chit Chat Girl 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Awesome Pal 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Susikin 5.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Cougar Vision 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Stop Talking 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Kaylie’s Girl 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Bee’snbee’s 15.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fomo 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Remember Hymn 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Estilo Varonil 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Combating 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Spirited Sol 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Out of Towner 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Wiseman’s Secret 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Don Ciccio 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Noble Commander 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 2 Redeem Eddie 1.80 3.1 6-1
1A 8 D’ Rapper 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 5 Seanow 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 4 King Nekia 8.00 5.5 10-1
2B 7 Big City Bob 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 6 Meru 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 1 Ace Nine Nine 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 The King Cheek 1.20 2.9 6-1
10 10 Sound the Charge 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Saint Marco 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Artistic Endeavor 3.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Know It Now 6.00 6 11-1
12 13 Omati 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Centerfoldprospect 8.00 8.4 16-1
1A 11 Pianzi 12.00 8.9 17-1
11 12 Benandjoe 12.00 9.1 17-1
1 4 Depository 12.00 9.2 17-1
3 2 Northern Ridge 15.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 I Am That I Am 15.00 10.4 20-1
7 7 Lord Eddard Stark 15.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Volnay 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Peculiarity 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Time Sensitive 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Miss Svengail 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Normalizeddeviance 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Catirusia 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Miss Jasser 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Monkey On My Back 15.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Wrongfully Accused 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Enough Kisses 20.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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