August 12, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raisebeforetheflop | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Ford | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutthemoney | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Direct Line | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Rogue | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roadside | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ian Glass | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grit and Curiosity | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Psycho Dar | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McWherter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Restoring Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Renee | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Rose | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sip Sip Hooray | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Mary | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Areeb | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kittybe Quick | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daniel’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Daisy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dendera | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peacehaven | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abhita | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ball Lass | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peppermint Flirt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eleuthera | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Ghost | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Assunta | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Fame | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warren’s Showgirl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Busker Allie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blueberry Eyes | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Distorted Diva | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Invictatatus | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Revolt | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyson | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Behavior | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Dancer | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Question Authority | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam’s Pride | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fireproof | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rain Diva | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shylock Eddie | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Carousel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Acai | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Game | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Peggy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Passion | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Joe Don Looney | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Half Right | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Pastrami | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cibertruck | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wedding Groom | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Beach | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Fame | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldeneyed | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catbernay | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashley’s Valentine | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Donum | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Numero Dix (GB) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Machine | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crew Dragon | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hockey Dad | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Hulk (GB) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laker Mamba | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mohawk King (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fuego Caliente | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Optimistic Valor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Barraza | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.