Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 11, 2021

August 11, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Ruby Dooby Doo 1.40 1.2 2-1
1A 8 Queen of Kantharos 1.40 1.3 2-1
7 7 Misspoken 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Karma Is Golden 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Luckbealadytonight 3.50 4 8-1
3 2 Cherokee Party 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Aly Did It 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 High Frontier 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flat Out Flashy 1.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Skyscanner 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Yei Yei 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Yabba Dabba Dude 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Town Jak 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mucho Mas Grande 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Viburnum 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Line Dancing 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Berenice 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Baby Gundin 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Kitten With a Whip 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Rising Bella 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Serenade a Kitten 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sweet Willemina 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hope Has a Name 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Holly’s Lady 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 We Miss Susie 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Caught Up in You 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Take Charge Erica 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Le Weekend 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Margie’s Heaven 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 The Aurelia Factor 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Tara’s Talent 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stride 4.50 1.7 3-1
12 12 Solar Tap 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Spotted Cat 5.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Run On the Trail 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Whodeewho 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Amarillo 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Scorestosettle 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Asset Talent 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Somethingandchange 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Minecrafter 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Herecomesthehammer 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Speed Dialer 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Galerio 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Shane’s Jewel 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Fact Finding 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dr Blarney 6.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Bird King 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Caribbean (AUS) 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Aspect 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Dontmesawithme 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Senior Investment 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Midnight Act 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Honor the Fleet 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Cape Henlopen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wissahickon 3.00 2 4-1
12 12 Sister Otoole 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Luck Money 4.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Cibolian 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Forloveofcountry 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Oceans Map 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sunset Kiss (GB) 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Adventist 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Mokheef 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Real Factor 20.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Fiery Lady 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Sandy Lane Kitten 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Replicant 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Muchacho Macho 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Percher 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tempting the Tiger 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Screen Star 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Forefront 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Makoto 8.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 2:53
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2nd - 1:05
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2nd - 1:03
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2nd - 3:34
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2nd - 6:18
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Halftime
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2nd - 2:28
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2nd - 1:13
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2nd - 0:16
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2nd - 5:05
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