August 8, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden G | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where U B | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob Man | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zip the Lip | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Bay | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pricey Victory | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Susi Sole | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misdriven | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yesterdaysplan | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life in Flash | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letmeslidebyyou | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arbutus | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Galatians | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Celtic Treasure | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brutus | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contraflow | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Piper | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Artistic Reason | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Bouncing Around | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Goldie’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fused | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Curlee Fox | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Striking It Lucky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Seville Row | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Senor Seville | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Busster Von Trappe | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mo American | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erawan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Replicant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Inspector Frost | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Law of the Land | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghaied Astoria | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ink | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paint Music for Me | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightster Red | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armando R | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie A | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | American d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Premiere Choice | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call Me Maestro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hello Amigo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | He’s a Shooter | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Badger Tooth | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Billingsgate | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Snow | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lookatlittleferris | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Da Money | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 3 | Big Beautiful Wall | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | McElmore Avenue | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Coal Truth | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crouchelli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Doubleoseven | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Super Dude | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Tusk | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Atreyu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Thunder | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Posterity | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thank You Ricketts | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choo Choo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beltway Bob | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ludicrous Mode | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Heza Kitten | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bustoff | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.