Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 7, 2021

August 7, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Golden Lassie 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Hello Gracie 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Utterly Enchanting 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Lambeau Lady 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Congress Hall 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Family Fortune 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Creative Alibi 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fire in the Hole 1.40 3.1 6-1
1 1 Self Assured 4.50 4 7-1
3 3 Bella Coola 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Broadway Melody 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tunnel Strike 30.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Pounding Music 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Magical Charm 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Polish Cookie 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Incontrovertible 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blushable 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Miss Nondescript 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Pretty Edgy 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mischiefs Model 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tam Char 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bourbon Wildcat 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Prince of Portland 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 B B Bad 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Rustys Gfivefifty 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Shake Em Loose 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Dontcrossfuzzy 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Cash Flowing 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Two Today 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 I’m Not Slow 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Tauber 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Fair Catch 2.50 3.4 7-1
5 4 So Dialed In 4.50 4 8-1
7 5 Justwaveandsmile 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 6 Tale of Dixie 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Dragon Moon 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 7 More Thunder 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Big Rinne 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Marsac 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Outside the Box 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Doc Elm 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Pet’s Night 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 We’re From Bristol 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Charlie Potatoes 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dirty Dirty 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Lookin for Justice 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Baltimore Bud 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Canherun 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Bean Pole 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Lislaughlin 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Likely Choice 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Square Penny 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Zola B 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Dew Dat 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Kyosha 30.00 4.7 9-1
13 12 Salad Days 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Bullets Lady 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Lady Perry 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 Veryan 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Looks Don’t Lie 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Guapa Chica 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Diggin for Dough 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Indehere 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Cry No More 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 3 Baptize the Boy 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 The Poser 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Band On Tour 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Tommy Shelby 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Meru 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Steadytillready 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rough Sea 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rrace Day Warrior 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Twitty City 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Big Venezuela 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bobby Two Times 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Jammin Still 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Swing Your Sword 15.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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