August 7, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Savile Row | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Butkus | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laurel River | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Got No Munny | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notre Dame | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Feast | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fratelli | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queen Goddess | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cliffsofthunder (GB) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sommer Daisy (FR) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Gioiosa (FR) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cedar’s Stars (GB) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peachtree Road | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Floral Essence | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruby’s Orchid | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whistler’s Style | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Twirling Derby | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawk Hill | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Magic Tiger | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Musical Gem | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Moon | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suances Secret | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calder Vale | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carpe Donum | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sigalert | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Summer Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Montebello | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derecho Dandy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flying Drummer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oviatt Class | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katonah | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Recaptured Freedom | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forbidden Kingdom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Jeff | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Jostar | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ox Bridge | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Baby | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capo Mafioso | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cane Creek Road | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good Bye Putin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Mathis | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gold Rush Candy | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hay Juan | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Joker Boy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sippin N Kissin | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur Spooner | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moose Mitchell | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Erebus | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom’s Glory | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven’s Music | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Peak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Black Belt | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’mgonnabesomebody | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Escape Route | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holden the Lute | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Took Charge | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tribal War Chant | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood’s Best | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | By Moonlight | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Gary | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Prez | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Luck | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | England’s Rose | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zydeco Mama | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Much Happy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Noguez | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Del Mar Drama | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Heat | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vella | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Best Pal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pappacap | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finneus | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet On Mookie | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Always | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aquitania Arrival | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olympic Legend | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Empire | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maxim Rate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charmaine’s Mia | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dogtag | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raymundos Secret | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brooke (CHI) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Grace | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laura’s Light | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Uncaged Kitty | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Sonny | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazeninstilettos | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet and Cheeky | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bathory | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Tigress | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katie’s Paradise | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamite Queen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Life’s Emotions | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Maiden | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot and a Mess | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slew’s Screen Star | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sassy Chasey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shout It Out | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.