Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 7, 2021

August 7, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Maryanorginger 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 A Bit of Both 1.80 2.4 4-1
3 2 Piece of My Heart 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Ready for Change 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Pretti Xtreme 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Richies Great Girl 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Zandrea’s 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 City Fun 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Smack 0.80 2.6 5-1
3 2 Windy City Girl 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Rapid Transit 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 April’s Gem 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Northern Alliance 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Estardo 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Majestic Blend 1.60 2.9 5-1
3 3 Go Little Gert Go 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Tiz Susan Ann 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Flying Business 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lady Atlantic 3.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chicks for Free 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Spinster Road 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Morriston 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mister Charming 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Souper Highvoltage 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Willow Ridge 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Change Direction 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Swoonatra 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Summer Belle 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Queens Up 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Laura’s Charm 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Freedom Rose 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Oeuvre 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Way of Life 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Fabulous Philly 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sweet N Sassy 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sharon N. Kirby Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lily’s Woofy 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Beyond Proper 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Charlo 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Cat Attack 2.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Avasarala 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Katie M’lady 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Manhattan Legacy 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Perfect Diva 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Jolina 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Richard P. Hazelton Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 King Tito 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Beealea 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Richiesgotgame 1.40 3.7 7-1
2 2 Flashy Richie 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Simple Logic 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Temper Tantrum 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mkar the Fast 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Valiant Vinny 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 One Putt Richie 4.50 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All in a Dream 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Torn Jeans 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bells of Joy 15.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Maid of Honor 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Shush 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lizqueenfluerdelis 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ready At Midnight 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Mulsanne (IRE) 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Colorofacloud 8.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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