August 6, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Moon | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misty’s Banshee | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Biz | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hashtag Lucky | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Thyme | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rona | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Out | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Fox | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mavilus | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acadian Girl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imagine Victory | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mineshaft Magic | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Car Lady | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shemademelucky | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sweet Talia | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six o’Clock Sarah | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tanka Tough | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic in Me | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Click to Confirm | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No More Mask | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | My Dream Girl | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coral Summer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mayfield of Dreams | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love My Cat | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bob’s Lady | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sara Plain N Tall | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smart Entry | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellatora | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Peachy Between Us | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tistaahal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vesper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ciarrai Abu | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Revolutionary Road | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Savagery | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Air On Fire | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Buzz | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Day the Music Died | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Phantom Ro | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Nova Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Element | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wonder In | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Bubble (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crazy Kater | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bahama Channel | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Uhwarrie Sky | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gio Dude | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Game | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | The Quantico Kid | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Jammer | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Forgiven | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charging Lion | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Brutus | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bobby Two Times | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ran Char | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tweet Away Robin | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joyful Noise | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magical Luna | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blitchton Lady | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eloquent Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Windrush Karma | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect the Sunrise | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Digital Dream | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notion Interruptus | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flava’s Dream | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Betty | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.