August 6, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kazuhiko (AUS) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aventapp | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gregory’s Pride | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aurelian Man | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here’s My Point | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sai Con (FR) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Newpark (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfecto Amor | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eagle Chief | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Encroachment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Trainer Please | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Master | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Fabulous | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Grazen | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kristi’s Tiger | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Another Eddie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten the Smart Way | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Passion | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Takethediamondlane | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Bo | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s the Star | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Admiral | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Me B Bubba T | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fenway | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jedi Master | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zabava | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runway Dreamer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Grace | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sugary | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clearly Gone | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Ice Storm | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Robin | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellie Arroway | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take a Leap | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | So Much Happy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kuora (PER) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | On Deck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Novel | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Connie Swingle | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spoiled Rotten | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roubaix | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Auntie T Run | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scat Attack | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Love | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Smile | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Addydidit | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dizzy Lizzy | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eleuthera | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wedding Chapel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bonnie Brae | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stone’s River | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steak and Cheese | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commanding Chief | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hammering Lemon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Racetrackers | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Unit | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Infatuate | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ox Bridge | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reckoning Day | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Salah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sorrento S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smash Ticket | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elm Drive | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eda | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Shiny | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shesgotattitude | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sax | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loveherheart | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roses for Suzzett | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Promise | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Simple | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | At the Spa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Katla | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady O’Prado | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sugar Kisses | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zahra | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Rose | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Info’s Treasure | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chewy Chewy Good | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avisse | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart River | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Gem | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.