August 6, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baseball Politics | 0.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Julio Tutwiler | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Bolston | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chocolate Bunny | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Enlace | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tea After Ballet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Poseidon’s Passion | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gray Owl | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | O’Keeffe | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aiken to Be | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She Can’t Sing | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luvin Bullies | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Moon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Driver Dan | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saturdays Hangover | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kearny County | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cadet Captain | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nyoman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Richy | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | City Drifter | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kennesaw | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Knicks Front | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Stella (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Etched in Stone | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Tito | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Empty Holster | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Edison Fire | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pistol Box | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Majestic Day | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call the Colonel | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Talis Park Grad | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andreas | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Tap the Mojo | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tale of the Nile | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clear N Convincing | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | River Evangelist | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Memory Bank | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hannity | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Half of Manhattan | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bourbon Tan | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Christian C | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Cry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sliabh Aughty (FR) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | One Way Home | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rayo de Luz | 0.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bulldog of Bergen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cachaco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tuff Attack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | One Flashy Girl | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khosea | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Girls Count | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valerie Valeski | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Locash | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Couger | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Supreme Irene | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Key | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alotmoreaction | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lizqueenfluerdelis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.