Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 6, 2021

August 6, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Baseball Politics 0.60 1.1 2-1
6 5 Julio Tutwiler 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Lord Bolston 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Chocolate Bunny 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mi Enlace 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Tea After Ballet 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Poseidon’s Passion 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Gray Owl 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 O’Keeffe 1.20 3.3 6-1
6 5 Aiken to Be 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 She Can’t Sing 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Luvin Bullies 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pleasant Moon 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Driver Dan 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Saturdays Hangover 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kearny County 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Cadet Captain 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Nyoman 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Richy 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 City Drifter 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Kennesaw 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Knicks Front 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Princess Stella (IRE) 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Etched in Stone 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 King Tito 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Empty Holster 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Edison Fire 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Pistol Box 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Majestic Day 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Call the Colonel 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Talis Park Grad 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Andreas 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Tap the Mojo 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Tale of the Nile 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Clear N Convincing 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 River Evangelist 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Memory Bank 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hannity 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Half of Manhattan 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Fleetway 20.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Bourbon Tan 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Christian C 6.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Power Cry 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sliabh Aughty (FR) 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 3 One Way Home 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Rayo de Luz 0.80 3.4 7-1
6 4 Bulldog of Bergen 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Cachaco 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tuff Attack 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 One Flashy Girl 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Khosea 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Girls Count 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Valerie Valeski 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Locash 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Couger 4.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Supreme Irene 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Bird Key 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Alotmoreaction 6.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Lizqueenfluerdelis 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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