Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 5, 2021

August 5, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Matthaus 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Tabernacle 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Alternative View 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Northern Cross 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 If Six Was Nine 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Sadlers Delite 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Muskoka Lady 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roman d’Oro 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Betwixting 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sav 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Spanish Ballerina 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ishiyaya 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Fact Checking 8.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Combative 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 There’s No Joe 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 2 Last American Exit 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ari Gold Speedwagn 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Speedy Bolt 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tricky Magician 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Twirling Moon 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Siakam 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Strike a Beat 2.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Carrobio 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Battle of Yorktown 4.00 5 9-1
9 9 Trinity Gold 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Jmr Pure Sensation 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Blue Snow 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Gendragon 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lil Bit Gangsta 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 California Keen 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 In Pursuit 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Baby Driver 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Simply a Zoomer 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Best Brew 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Roses Little Girl 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Devine Dancing 4.50 6.8 13-1
6 6 Canadian Essence 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Moonlight Melody 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Audition 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Street Topper 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Trickeration 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Shishka 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Lucky Girasol 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Pino in a Purse 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Bella Nina 2.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Make No Mistake 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Cheeky Pint 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 West Paw 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Alice’s War 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Antigone 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Elite Princess 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Shuddacuddawudda 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bearthestorm 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Giant Illusion 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Tenpenny Nail 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Musically Inclined 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Aliyah’s Action 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Osveta 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Regal Billee 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 A Bit of Sunshine 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Queen Beach 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Viani 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Quiet Ascot 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Rosa’s Soul 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Blu Sky Sunrise 6.00 6 11-1
12 11 Gigi’s Gift 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Rule the Sea 10.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Sea of Diamonds 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Everyminitevryhour 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 10 Cliff’s Head 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 8 Elfin Forest 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Dispense 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Royal City Reign 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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